Let me explain an upper bound on the number of components, which is asymptotically consistent with your conjecture.
I will be using your notation where the dimension is $d$ and the degree is $n$ even though it is inconsistent with the reference below.
The following is Theorem 3 in
Milnor, John W., On the Betti numbers of real varieties, Proc. Am. Math. Soc. 15, 275-280 (1964). ZBL0123.38302.
Theorem: If $X\subset \mathbb R^d$ is defined by a polynomial inequality of the form $f\ge 0$ of degree $n$, then the sum of Betti numbers of $X$ is
at most
$$
B_{n,d}:=\frac{1}{2}(2+n)(1+n)^{d-1}
$$
which is asymptotically (as $n, d\to\infty$) $\frac{1}{2}n^d$.
In particular, the number of path-connected components of $X$ is $\le B_{n,d}$, since this number is the zeroth Betti number of $X$.
Milnor in his paper proves a more general result in the case of several polynomial inequalities. Milnor's work was motivated by an earlier work of Rene Thom who obtained an upper bound on the total Betti numbers of algebraic subsets of $\mathbb R^d$.
Corollary. In the above setting, the number of connected components of the subset $X:=\{x\in \mathbb R^d: f(x)>0\}$ is at most $B_{n,d}$.
Proof. Consider the family of polynomials $f_t(x):= f(x) - t$, $t>0$. For every polynomial $f_t$ define the subset $X_t:=\{x\in \mathbb R^d: f_t(x)\ge 0\}$.
Then, clearly,
$$
X= \bigcup_{t>0} X_t.
$$
According to Milnor's theorem, each $X_t$ has at most $B_{n,d}$ components.
Lemma. Suppose that $X$ is a topological space represented as an increasing union of subsets $X_t$, $t>0$, where each $X_t$ has at most $N$ path-components. Then $X$ also has at most $N$ path-components.
Proof. We need to show that if $x_0,...,x_N$ are points in $X$, then at least two of these points belong to the same path-component. There exists $t$ such that $x_0,...,x_N\in X_t$. Since $X_t$ has at most $N$ components, there is a path in $X_t$ connecting two of these points, say, $x_0, x_1$. But then $x_0, x_1$ belong to the same path-component of $X$ as well. qed.
Applying this lemma, we obtain the corollary. qed