I have $U_t = cos(\sigma W_t)$ where $W_t$ is Brownian Motion, that is $f(w) = \frac{1}{t \sqrt{2\pi}} \exp(-\frac{1}{2} (\frac{w}{t})^2)$ or in words $W_t$ is distributed as $N(0,t)$ I can calculate $dU_t$ like so:
$$ dU_t = -\sigma sin(\sigma W_t) dW_t - \frac{\sigma}{2} cos(\sigma W_t) dt $$
Then I need to find $E[U_t]$. However, to do this, I need:
- To get $g(u)$, the pdf of $U_t$
- To get $g(u)$ I need the function linking $U_t$ and $W_t$ to be one-to-one and it is not
I'm learning about Ito Calculus and it feels to me I'm missing something - I'm not sure I should be using the method of getting the pdf and expected value of a random variable which is a function of another random variable.