Data Science Stack Exchange
Data Science Stack Exchange

Questions tagged [prophet]

12 questions
2
votes
1 answer

How to use categorical data in forecasting with Prophet?

I'm trying to create a model to predict the number of players on a video game at a certain time and was trying to figure out how to integrate categorical data into my forecasting problem. So far, my plan is to use the Steam player count data to…
CrazyRageMonkey
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FB Prophet: how to test if specific regressor contribution to predicted value is significant

0 I am using Prophet on a timeseries with exogenous features. I want to understand the significance (p value) of each of those features in my Prophet model, so that I can perform backward elimination of features, iterate and arrive at a robust…
elfe
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Why is my Prophet model outputting a spike in predictions for future periods?

I'm using the Prophet model to forecast time series data for predicting monthly expenses. However, I noticed an issue where my forecast predictions show unexpected spikes in future values. Here's a brief overview of my process: Data: I have a time…
user172462
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How to handle very small dataset in time series forecasting?

I have a dataset of expenses where, i need to predict 5 years ahead with very limited data (10 data only available for 5 years). i need to predict each term in a year, where Jan-Jun (First term) & July-Dec (Second term). i plan to use Prophet but…
user172462
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1
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1 answer

Multivariate time series forecasting - model selection

I have historical data on customer contracts. I know the date a customer terminated their contract and the date they notified of this termination. For example, a customer could end their contract in March-2024 and notify about it in January 2024. I…
BenBernke
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implement dask cluster with prophet

I'm trying to implement dask. I'm currently using joblib and it works perfectly, it uses the entire CPU, which seems perfect to me but I want to add more resources Now trying to implement dask it's going much slower, I don't know what I'm doing…
Bryro
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What are good strategies to teach Prophet to interpolate data?

I have a few years worth of temperature data that is often sampled every ~20 minutes, but there are also gaps, could be many days of gaps, although more commonly an hour or two. I thought to use Prophet and ask it to interpolate the missing…
Tunneller
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Feedback Loop in Prophet Model (Using predicted vs Actual data to improve future predictions)

I am working on a sales dataset which has historical sales on a daily basis for 10 products (SKU) ranging through 2 years on a daily basis up to date (Including zeros for days with no sales). To predict the future sales (Say 30 days = 1 Month), I…
Russel Osiemo
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"Model" parameter in cross validation function in prophet

I have been using Prophet model to for demand forecasting. I have a general question about how I should be using the fitted model input to cross validation function. model = Prophet() model.fit(df) #fit model on entire data or the data only till…
Amrita Ligga
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1 answer

Which ML algorithm is suitable for a dataset that has seasonality and trend?

Hello everyone I have a small datasets from 2006 to 2023, I would like to predict monthly sales for the next year. This is my data: I already tried Prophet and NeuralProphet, but unfortunately they don't work well after many trials with different…
Hadis
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2 answers

Supervised or Unsupervised Learning Classification: Facebook Prophet vs. ARIMA

I'm currently exploring time series forecasting and considering the use of Facebook's Prophet and ARIMA models. I'm a bit confused about whether these approaches fall under supervised or unsupervised learning techniques. Could someone clarify…
Linear Data Structure
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RMSE too high when trying to create a machine learning model in Python

I am new using Python/ML. Right now, I am trying to create a model to forecast the expected call volume for a company. However, the RMSE that I am getting is higher than expected Here is my code. I don't know if its something regarding the…
LatverianKid
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